Guess My Age

This is a fun one we use to kick off scatterplots and regressions – specifically in the discussion about correlation coefficients. 1

GUESS MY AGE

The kids number from 1 to 12 on a piece of scratch paper, and we go through a slideshow of 12 celebrities2, and the kids try to guess the age of each person/entity. Occasionally I’ll change out some of the names, but this year, the list went:

  1. Oprah
  2. George Clooney
  3. Queen Elizabeth
  4. The USA Today (the newspaper… as in, how long has it been in existence)3
  5. Mickey Mouse (including “Steamboat Willie”)
  6. Anne Hathaway4
  7. Coach Mack Brown5
  8. My baby nephew (guess his age in months, not years)6
  9. Leo DiCaprio7
  10. Carrie Underwood8
  11. Tom Hanks9
  12. Will Smith10
If you wish to see the slides and play along...
If you wish to see the slides and play along…

(If you want to try your hand… number from 1 to 12, hit the thumbnail above, and give it a shot! Here are the answers if you want to check, sans #8 — privacy concerns and all)

Once we get done, the kids get to see the actual ages, and — after gawking for a few moments — punch the numbers into our calculators and create a scatterplot of actual ages versus our guesses.

In theory, if every one of your guesses is on the dot, your r-value (aka, correlation coefficient) will be a perfect 1.0. (Of course, you could overestimate everyone’s age by a large constant and still get r = 1.0,11 but heck, this is all for kicks.) We then have students share their r-values up on the board and share a decent laugh.

Every now and then, someone really overshoots “USA Today” and ends up with a negative r-value :)

. . .

We are well into week 8, and this much is crystal clear to me: There will be no easy weeks.

Every single Friday at 4:05 feels like a trophy-ceremony-worthy moment.

But I feel like in my fourth year of teaching stat, I’m finally getting it right. 12 Not that I felt like I did anything wrong, per se in even the first year… but… if you’re a perfectionist, you understand.

  1. This is also another activity I got from Penny S. over at Westwood — again, not my concoction []
  2. MOSTLY celebrities, anyway []
  3. This is the one that universally screws people up. I once had a kid that guessed “4000”… which… well… not only predates the freaking USA, but perhaps predates the printing press? []
  4. My students tend to know her more as “Princess”… I tend to think of her as “Catwoman”. Hmmm… :) []
  5. Had to put him in this year cuz… well… he may not be our coach next year []
  6. I used to put my sister in for this one, but this inevitably leads to “Is she younger than you” which leads to “Wait HOW OLD ARE YOU?” and I prefer not to go there :) []
  7. This one always draws a collective “MMmmm yeahhh” from the females in the room… followed a bit later by a “Wait he’s HOW old?!?” []
  8. I used to have Faith Hill in this slot, but since Carrie took over the Sunday Night Football theme song duties….. []
  9. …who was excellent in “Captain Phillips”, by the way Excellent. []
  10. …who is, quite frankly, ageless. []
  11. …and there are still other ways to get everything terribly wrong and still get r = 1.0 []
  12. Maybe :) []